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To reverse a decade of compromising total factor productivity, regional labour market policy is moving from easy task production to handling active workforce transitions. Federal governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more typical as firms integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs anticipated to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are heightening their concentrate on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing financial strength through more protected trade and investment relationships, reliable AI implementation, managed workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the latest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to outshine most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is expected to increase again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of reduced foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote further financial investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to widen to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil costs, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh intends to ease inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay essential development drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has actually can be found in structure varied, resistant and internationally competitive economies.
Emerging Strategic Shifts Shaping the 2026 GCC EconomyScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economic Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring speed, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not just the velocity of technological modification, though that velocity is genuine, however rather a basic shift in how enterprises develop of their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss duty, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most significant tactical recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what comes next, including the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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