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Evaluating Legacy Systems and Future Economic Frameworks

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Business news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and stats covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Financial growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region forecasted to outperform its 2025 efficiency despite soft oil profits and ongoing global uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research study rundown, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resilient nonenergy sector, strong consumer dynamics, and gradually improving oil output.

But the current projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic demand and a broadly stable worldwide background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a major motorist of the region's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real non reusable incomes are expected to sustain a rise in customer costs throughout the Gulf.

Credit growth is likewise forecast to stay elevated as access to financial services broadens. With GCC main banks anticipated to follow awaited United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are likely to decrease, offering homes and organizations further motivation to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a combined image.

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This might weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more dependent on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and global demand improves. Qatar, on the other hand, stands out as a local outperformer, with considerable expansions in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its overall financial performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan expects a 6 percent cut in capital expense as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by 2 percentage points. Nevertheless, the report keeps in mind that these cuts might not materialise fully if countercyclical costs steps are triggered to support development. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement programs.

Regardless of shortterm dangers connected to oil rates and global demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: resilient consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and tactical financial preparation. With these elements lining up, the area is getting ready for one of its most well balanced durations of expansion over the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly constant global economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gross domestic item of the GCC area is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has actually had no notable impact on regional growth, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It added: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually slowly increased, offering a boost to the region's economies. We expect GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that financial development in the region is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's continued development towards diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are anticipated to outperform their worldwide peers.

In December, the IMF even more said that headline inflation is anticipated to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to stay elevated in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is anticipated to grow and loaning is predicted to be supported by additional cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by alleviating financial policy even more, which in turn will decrease debt servicing costs and boost disposable earnings and need," said the report.

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